Kalshi is an up-and-coming legal US prediction market regulated by the CFTC.
The markets on Kalshi each have a betting limit which may be found within a PDF sent to the CFTC by KalshiEX LLC.
Unfortunately these PDFs are formatted differently (some even have the limit as an image rather than text). To make discovering betting limits even more tedious, there’s 702 of these PDFs (all linked on this page). As the second-highest user on the Kalshi leaderboard (of course there’s a leaderboard…) I needed to know all of these limits.
I used Claude‘s PDF beta API to extract all information from the PDFs and include it here. All coding work took me a total of fifteen minutes from scraping->extraction->summarization->this blog post.
You can sort and search the below list if for any reason you need to know the per-market contract limits on Kalshi. Most markets have a limit of $25K USD, although some larger markets have limits of $7M or $50M. Hopefully the CFTC allows these to be increased in the future! If you enjoyed this post you may also like my personal finance tips post.
CONTRACT CODE | CONTRACT NAME | DATE | POSITION LIMIT |
---|---|---|---|
SCOTREF | Will another sanctioned Scottish independence referendum be announced before <date>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
NEWTAYLOR | Will Taylor Swift announce a new album before <date>? | February 15, 2024 | $25,000 |
EURUSD | Will EUR/USD be <above/below/between> <count>? | August 9, 2022 | $25,000 |
GOOGLESHARE | Will Google's search market share be <above/below/between> <count> by <date>? | February 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
SCOURT | Will <person> be the next Supreme Court justice? | January 31, 2022 | $25,000 |
DHSLEAVE | Will Alejandro Mayorkas leave office before <date>? | January 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
RETAIL | Will retail sales be <above/below/between> <percent> in <month>? | August 10, 2023 | $25,000 |
ERCOT | What share of Texas's electricity will be from zero-carbon sources? | 12/15/2021 | $25,000 |
EXITPOLLSHARE | "Will <political party> win <above/below/between> <percent> of <constituency> in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?" | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
REMOVE | Will the President be impeached and removed from office before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
FLIGHTLAX | Will <greater than/less than/between> <count> flights be delayed or canceled at Los Angeles International Airport on <date>? | 07/11/2022 | $25,000 |
BAFTA | Will <nominee> win <award> at the BAFTAs? | February 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
WACAPTRADE | "Will Washington State vote in favor of Washington Initiative 2117 in 2024?" | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
SCOTUS | Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed? | December 2, 2021 | $25,000 |
AOH1996 | Will AOH1996 reach phase <number> clinical trials by <date>? | August 4, 2023 | $25,000 |
LAYOFFSY | Will <year> layoffs in <sector> in <year> be <above/below/between> <count>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
SENATEPARTY | "Will <political party> win <Senate seat> for the term starting <year>?" | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
MAYORSF | Will <candidate> control the Mayorship of San Francisco after the election of <election year>? | October 31, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
COOK | Will Lisa Cook be confirmed to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board? | April 11, 2022 | $25,000 |
CREDITC | Will SOFR be <above/below/between> <count> by <date>? | July 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
AMCCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of AMC leave by <date>? | January 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
MAYORNYC | "Will <candidate> control the Mayorship of New York City after the election of <election year>?" | November 7, 2024 | $1,000,000 |
ADAMS | Will Eric Adams leave office or announce his intent to resign as Mayor of New York City before <date>? | October 9, 2024 | $25,000 |
MAUBER | Will Massachusetts vote in favor of question 3 (relating to rideshare driver collective bargaining) in 2024? | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
538CALL | Will FiveThirtyEight correctly call the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
UNIPRESIDENTS | Will university <president> be announced to be leaving their position by <date>? | May 2, 2024 | $25,000 |
HOTYEAR | "Will the mean Land-Ocean Temperature Index for <year> be <above/below/between> <value>?" | July 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
SHUTDOWNBY | Will the government shut down by <date>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYLOU | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Louisville? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
POPVOTESTATEMOV | Will the American presidential election popular vote be in favor of <political party> in <state> in <election year> by <above/below/between/at least> <percent>? | October 4, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
RAINNYCM | Will it rain <above/below/between> <inches> in New York City in <month>? | February 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
SCHEDULEF | "Will the Trump Administration reinstate Schedule F before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
MOOREUS | Will the Supreme Court rule that the mandatory repatriation tax is unconstitutional? | November 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
GVG | Will the Supreme Court's ruling in Gonzalez v. Google rule that Section 230 does not immunize ICS algorithms? | March 23, 2023 | $25,000 |
MORTGAGE | Will the 30-Yr FRM get <above/below> <interest rate> by <date>? | May 11, 2022 | $25,000 |
COLUMBPRESIDENT | Will the president of Columbia University be announced to be leaving their position by <date>? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
REACTOR | Will the Nuclear Regulatory Commission issue a new combined license for a nuclear reactor by <date>? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
OPENAICEO | Will <person> be the CEO of OpenAI by <date>? | November 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
SEC230 | Will Section 230 be weakened? | February 10, 2022 | $25,000 |
KalshiEX LLC | Will real GDP <increase/decrease> by more than <percent>? | June 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
VONC | Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in the United Kingdom? | March 9, 2022 | $25,000 |
GLOBALCO2 | "Will global CO2 emissions be <above/below/between> <count> in <year>?" | May 16, 2024 | $25,000 |
FOREX | What will the exchange rate of <currency> be? | January 25, 2022 | $25,000 |
GOVPARTYNOM | Will <political party> nominate <candidate> to contest the governorship of <state> in <election year>? | November 7, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
CHINALLM | Will a Chinese company have a top-ranked LLM before <date>? | February 9, 2024 | $25,000 |
CPISHELTER | Will the shelter component of the consumer price index change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | December 15, 2023 | $25,000 |
ADOBEUS | Will the DOJ win their lawsuit against Adobe? | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
DEBT | Will the U.S. government debt as a percentage of gross domestic product be <above/below/between> <percent> <before/in> <quarter>? | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
BOEINGCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Boeing leave by <date>? | January 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
KIDVAX | KIDVAX contract relating to whether the FDA will authorize a COVID-19 vaccine shot for children under the age of 12 | 9/22/2021 | $25,000 |
AAAGAS | Will the average price of gas in <area> be <above/below/between> <price> on <date>? | September 13, 2023 | $25,000 |
PRESNOM | Will <candidate> be the presidential nominee of <political party> in <election year>? | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
CANADAPARTY | "Will <party> win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?" | October 21, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
BARR | Will Michael Barr be confirmed to be the Vice Chairman for Supervision of the Federal Reserve? | May 2, 2022 | $25,000 |
CHILDS | Will J. Michelle Childs be confirmed to be the United States Circuit Judge for the District of Columbia Circuit? | May 2, 2022 | $25,000 |
NONCOMPETE | Will the FTC finalize its rule banning the enforcement of non-compete agreements? | April 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
USCLIMATE | Will the U.S. hit its climate goals? | April 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
PRESURUGUAY | Will <candidate> be elected President of Uruguay pursuant to the 2024 Presidential election? | November 1, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
DEFICIT | "Will the federal <surplus/deficit> <increase/decrease> by <above/below/between> <count> in <Presidential term>?" | November 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOPLLM | Will <organization>'s LLM not be the top ranked LLM before <date>? | February 9, 2024 | $25,000 |
FEDBALANCE | Will the Federal Reserve's balance sheet be <above/below> <count> by <date>? | May 30, 2023 | $25,000 |
ECPOPVOTE | Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win the Presidency? | October 31, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
FEMA | Will there be a FEMA Major Disaster Declaration across <state> by <date>? | August 16, 2023 | $25,000 |
GPTPARAM | Will parameters in GPT-4 be above <count>? | September 7, 2023 | $25,000 |
NEURALINK | Will a Neuralink device be implanted in a human brain by <date>? | November 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
AMEND22 | Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to permit a third presidential term before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
SWINGSTATES24 | "Will a single party win all swing states in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?" | October 18, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
MAMMAMIA3 | Will a third Mamma Mia film be announced before <date>? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
RECNC | CFTC Regulation 40.2(a) Notification Regarding the Initial Listing of the RECNC Contract | 8/9/2021 | $25,000 |
ARINFLATION | Will inflation in Argentina be <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | January 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
SNOWNY | How much will it snow in New York City? | 12/7/2021 | $25,000 |
NPPC | Will the Supreme Court strike down Proposition 12 in National Pork Producers Council v. Ross? | 10/18/2022 | $25,000 |
VINE | Will X bring back Vine before <date>? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
USDX | Will USDX be <above/below/between> <count> by <date>? | July 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
FEDHIKE | Will the Fed hike rates by <date>? | December 14, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
CHINATOPLLM | Will a Chinese company have an LLM ranked higher overall than Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI LLMs before <date>? | May 20, 2024 | $25,000 |
AILEGISLATION | Will Congress pass legislation limiting large language models by <date>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
NETNEU | Will net neutrality be reimposed? | November 25, 2021 | $25,000 |
FED | Target Federal Funds Rate Contract | June 30, 2021 | $25,000 |
MINWAGE | Will the federal minimum wage be increased before <date>? | May 16, 2024 | $25,000 |
RRF | Will Congress replenish the Restaurant Revitalization Fund by <date>? | April 13, 2022 | $25,000 |
PHEIC | Will the WHO declare a public health emergency before <date>? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
NETCHOICE | Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of the petitioners in NetChoice, LLC v. Paxton? | March 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
AVATARS2 | Will Netflix's Avatar: The Last Airbender get a season 2? | February 29, 2024 | $25,000 |
TRAVELWARN | Will the U.S. State Department recommend Americans do not travel to Beijing? | April 20, 2022 | $25,000 |
WKCASE | Weekly Covid cases | August 16, 2021 | $25,000 |
ROBOTAXIOUT | Will Tesla release the Robotaxi to the public before <date>? | April 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
KDOT | KDOT Contract relating to the consumption of an upcoming album released by Kendrick Lamar | October 31, 2021 | $25,000 |
TIKTOKBAN | Will TikTok be banned in the United States? | April 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
NYSCHL | NYSCHL Contract | 8/29/2021 | $25,000 |
BTCMINMAX | Will the spot price of Bitcoin be <above/below> <price> by <date> at <time>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
LEADERSHIP | "Will <individual> be the <position> on February 1 following <election year>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
GBP | Will the GBP/USD exchange rate be <above/below/between> <count>? | April 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
CREDEFMINMAX | Will commercial real estate defaults be <above/below> <percent> by <quarter>? | August 30, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
MESSIAH | Will a third Dune film be announced before <date>? | February 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
LCNCOVID | "Will average COVID-19 case numbers be <above/below> <count> in China by <date>?" | April 19, 2022 | $25,000 |
CPI | Will the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase more than <percent>? | June 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
LANAREY | The LANAREY Contract is a contract relating to the consumption of Lana del Rey's new album, Blue Banisters | October 20, 2021 | $25,000 |
UNIPRESIDENT | Will university <president> be announced to be leaving their position by <date>? | December 7, 2023 | $25,000 |
HURWIL | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Wilmington? | August 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
TAPER | TAPER Contract | 8/23/2021 | $25,000 |
NYC | Will New York City close indoor dining? | July 6, 2021 | $25,000 |
SOUR | SOUR Contract, relating to whether Olivia Rodrigo's debut album Sour will be the most consumed album of 2021 | October 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
YOYCPICORE | Will core inflation be <above/below/between> <percent> for the 12 months ending <month>? | December 19, 2022 | $25,000 |
GRANTSPASS | Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of the petitioners in City of Grants Pass, Oregon v. Johnson? | March 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
IMPEACH | "Will the President be impeached before <date>?" | November 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
GTA6 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI's release date be by <date>? | November 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
FEDFACILITY | Will the Fed establish a new lending facility by <date>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
RPUNISH | Will the GOP punish its members who voted for the bipartisan infrastructure bill? | November 17, 2021 | $25,000 |
DONDA2 | Will consumption of Donda 2 be over <count>? | February 14, 2022 | $25,000 |
MANCHIN | Will Joe Manchin leave Democratic leadership? | November 23, 2021 | $25,000 |
HURMIA | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Miami? | 06/28/2022 | $25,000 |
AXONFTC | Will the Supreme Court rule that Congress did not impliedly strip federal courts of jurisdiction to adjudicate constitutional challenges to the structure of the FTC in Axon Enterprise, Inc. v. Federal Trade Commission? | December 8, 2022 | $25,000 |
737MAX9 | Will the Boeing 737 Max 9 return to service by <date>? | January 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
USICA | Will USICA become law? | February 3, 2022 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYRAP | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Rapid City? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
CORECPI | Will core CPI growth be <above/below/between> <percent> in <month>? | 06/29/2022 | $25,000 |
TRUMPADMINOFFICIAL | Will <person> join the Trump Presidential Administration before <date>? | November 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
POPVOTE | "Will <political party> win the American presidential election popular vote in <election year>?" | October 4, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
GRAMMYNOM | "Will <nominee> be nominated for <award> at the <number> Grammys?" | March 12, 2024 | $25,000 |
CONLEADER | "Will <candidate> win the 2024 U.K. Conservative leadership election?" | October 18, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
EURO | Will the Euro/USD exchange rate be <above/below/between> <count>? | March 15, 2022 | $25,000 |
CPIFOOD | Will the price of food change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | September 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
HOME | Will new U.S. home sales be above <count>? | June 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
OSCARCOUNT | Will <film> win <above/below/between> <count> awards at the Oscars? | January 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
U3 | "Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above <percent>?" | July 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
WTIOIL | Will the settle price of WTI crude oil futures be <above/below/between> <price> for <date>? | March 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
ASYLUMCASES | Will credible fear cases be above <count> in <period>? | January 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
FEMALECEO | Will the Fortune 500 have at least <count> non-male CEOs on <date>? | April 16, 2024 | $25,000 |
NORDSTREAM2 | Will Nord Stream 2 enter service before <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
METACRITIC | Will <game> have a Metacritic score of <above/below/between> <count> on <date>? | March 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
OAIAGI | Will OpenAI claim to have achieved AGI by <date>? | January 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYHOU | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Houston? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
TIKTOKCOURT | Will a U.S. Federal Court ruling overturn a ban against TikTok in a final judgment not subject to appeal? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
ZYNBAN | Will the United States ban Zyn nicotine patches? | February 2, 2024 | $25,000 |
MTEMP | Monthly Global Temperature Contract | 9/27/2021 | $25,000 |
H5N1 | Will the H5N1 avian flu be named a <public health emergency of international concern/pandemic> by the WHO? | February 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
BORDER | Will <body> pass a border bill before <date>? | January 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
LEPOP | Will any monthly U.S. employment-population ratio be <above/below> <percent> this year? | February 24, 2022 | $25,000 |
RAINMIA | Miami Precipitation Contract | August 26, 2021 | $25,000 |
VOTERID | "Will the Trump Administration take executive action regarding providing proof of citizenship or identification to register to vote or vote before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURNYC | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit New York City? | 06/28/2022 | $25,000 |
EUCLIMATE | Will the EU meet climate <goal>? | May 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
ACPI | Will inflation be <above/below/between> <percent> this year? | March 7, 2022 | $25,000 |
TESLAROADSTER | Will Tesla deliver the second generation Roadster before <date>? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
PPI | Will PPI growth be <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | April 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
TOPAI | "Will <organization> have a #1 ranked LLM before <date>?" | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
COVIDBILL | Will a new COVID-19 package become law by <date>? | April 12, 2022 | $25,000 |
Rule_40.2 | "Will total US credit card debt be above <dollar amount>?" | July 19, 2021 | $25,000 |
CORIVER | "Will the Bureau of Reclamation projection for the start of <year> Lake Mead water level be <feet> or below?" | 06/30/2022 | $25,000 |
TSAW | "Will weekly average TSA airport screenings be above <count>?" | July 11, 2021 | $25,000 |
RECSS | RECSS contract (Contract relating to whether or not there will be a quarter of negative real GDP growth in the next four quarters as measured by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) | August 3, 2021 | $25,000 |
CNAMB | Will Nicholas Burns be confirmed as Chinese Ambassador? | November 14, 2021 | $25,000 |
DEBATES24 | Will there be <count> presidential debates in 2024? | April 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
10Y2Y | Will the 10-year/2-year yield curve be <above/below/between> <percent> by <date>? | March 2, 2023 | $25,000 |
APPLECAR | Will Apple announce the development of a vehicle by <date>? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
OAIPROFIT | Will OpenAI become a for-profit before <date>? | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
NEWSCOTUSCONF | "Will <above/below/between/exactly> <count> Supreme Court justices be confirmed during <Presidential term>?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
POPVOTEMOV | "Will the American presidential election popular vote be in favor of <political party> in <election year> by <above/below/between/at least> <percent>?" | October 4, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
VISIONPRO | Will Apple launch the Apple Vision Pro by <date>? | December 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
SAGAWARDS | Will <nominee> win <award> at the SAG Awards? | February 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
KILAUEA | Kilauea Volcanic Eruption Evacuation | 10/5/2021 | $25,000 |
NHIGH | The NHIGH contract is a contract relating to the high temperature observed in New York City on a particular day | August 3, 2021 | $25,000 |
RIHANNA | Will Rihanna release a new album on Spotify before <date>? | April 3, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURCAT | The HURCAT Contract is a contract relating to whether a given named storm will reach certain thresholds for sustained wind speed | August 26, 2021 | $25,000 |
DONDA<xxx> | Donda album consumption Contract | August 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
OPENAIBOARD | Will <person> <join/leave> the board of OpenAI? | November 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
Rule_100.16 | "Will weekly average subway ridership in New York City be above <count>?" | July 11, 2021 | $25,000 |
TOPFIVEPOP | Will <artist> be named as in the top five pop artists of the 21st century by Billboard? | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
NETFLIXRANK | Will <movie/show> be <above/below/between/equal to> <count> on the Netflix <chart> for <date>? | May 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
FDIC | Will FDIC deposit insurance increase by <date>? | April 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
SCOTUSPOWER | Will the Supreme Court have <count_1> conservatives and <count_2> liberals on <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
MOON | MOON Contract - Contract relating to NASA's Artemis mission which is designed to establish human settlement on the Moon | 10/19/21 | $25,000 |
PHILHIGH | "Will the high temperature in Philadelphia be <greater than/less than/between> <degrees> on <date>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
PILL | Will the FDA approve a pill to fight COVID-19? | December 16, 2021 | $25,000 |
ACPICORE | Will core inflation be <above/below/between> <percent> this year? | July 6, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
TIME | Will <person> be Time Person of the Year for <year>? | November 28, 2023 | $25,000 |
EUCOV | What will the COVID-19 caseload be in <country>? | December 12, 2021 | $25,000 |
SWINGSWEEPPARTY24 | Will a single party win all swing states in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | October 31, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
AIORDER | Will President Trump rescind President Biden's Executive Order regarding AI before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
BIRTHRIGHT | "Will the Trump Administration take executive action regarding birthright citizenship before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
GBPUSD | Will GBP/USD be <above/below/between> <count>? | March 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
VARIANT | Will <variant> make up <percentage> of U.S. COVID-19 cases? | November 14, 2021 | $25,000 |
TOP3WEALTH | Will <person> be the wealthiest person in the world before <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOPTEN | Will <artist> have the top ten of the Billboard Hot 100 songs in a given week? | February 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
NEPA | Will a NEPA permitting reform bill become law? | 11/24/2022 | $25,000 |
US_China_Trade_Deficit_Contract | Will the US trade deficit in goods with China be above <dollar amount>? | June 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
ACAREPEAL | "Will a bill become law repealing at least one of the core parts of the Affordable Care Act before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOPPOP | Will <artist> be named as #1 pop artist of the 21st century by Billboard? | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYPHIL | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Philadelphia? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
TOPARTIST | "Will <artist> be the top Spotify artist of <year>?" Contract | January 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
CABINETNOM | Will <individual> be nominated for a cabinet seat before <date>? | October 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
CONTROL | Will <chamber of Congress> be controlled by <party> for <term>? | June 12, 2023 | $50,000,000 |
NYTOAI | Will OpenAI be held civilly liable for violating the copyright of The New York Times in <court>? | December 28, 2023 | $25,000 |
CFPB | Will the Supreme Court rule the CFPB's method of funding unconstitutional? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
1SONG | Will <artist> have a #1 song by <date>? | May 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
CHANCELLOR | "Will a member of <party> be the first German Chancellor elected after the <year> German federal election?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
DEBATE | Will <topic> be mentioned by a candidate at the 2024 presidential <debate>? | June 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
DIESEL | Will average diesel prices be <above/below/between> <price>? | 10/18/2022 | $25,000 |
CTC | Child Tax Credit | 9/6/2021 | $25,000 |
SPACEX | Will the FAA record SpaceX launching <rocket> by <date>? | December 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
NEWOUTBREAK | Will <disease> be declared a <epidemic_level>? | May 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
EURUSDMINMAX | Will EUR/USD be <above/below> <count> by <date>? | January 17, 2023 | $25,000 |
CASELOW | CASELOW - COVID-19 Case Floor | September 23, 2021 | $25,000 |
EVSHARE | Will the share of electric vehicles be <above/below/between> <percent> in <month>? | April 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
AIOPEN | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model before <date>? | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
CPIAPPAREL | Will the price of apparel change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | September 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
IMOAI | Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before <date>? | March 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
ISAMB | "Will <nominee> be confirmed to be Ambassador to Israel by <date>?" | September 7, 2023 | $25,000 |
VOHC | VOHC Contract | September 2nd, 2021 | $25,000 |
BIDENVNEBRASKA | Will the Supreme Court's ruling in Biden v. Nebraska lift the injunction on Biden's student plan? | January 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
NEWCOACH | Will <coach> be the next coach of <team>? | May 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
PARIS | "Will the Trump Administration withdraw the United States from the Paris Climate Accords before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
538STATES | Will FiveThirtyEight correctly call <above/below/between/exactly> <count> states in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
VAXMAND | Will the injunction against the OSHA vaccine mandate remain? | November 30, 2021 | $25,000 |
CREDITCDEF | Will credit card defaults be <above/below/between> <percent> in <quarter>? | August 10, 2023 | $25,000 |
TRANSMILITARY | "Will the Trump Administration take executive action regarding transgender members of the armed forces before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
OIL | Will the price of oil be <above/below> <price>? | February 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
ONRRP | ONRRP contract (Contract relating to the aggregated daily value of reverse repurchase agreements made by the Federal Reserve) | 8/23/2021 | $25,000 |
PRESROMANIA | "Will <candidate> be elected President of Romania pursuant to the 2024 Presidential election?" | November 1, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
FTCANTITRUST | Will the FTC bring antitrust claims against <company>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
STARWARS | Will a new Star Wars film be released in theaters before <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
AIPLATEAU | "Will <organization> not release a <model> at least <count> elo points higher than its highest model?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
LARGETARIFF | Will Donald Trump become President and impose large tariffs? | October 24, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
CNCOVID | Will average COVID-19 case numbers be <above/below/between> <count> in China? | March 21, 2022 | $25,000 |
RAINNY | Will more than <inches> of precipitation fall in New York City? | July 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
MLBOAK | MLBOAK Contract - CFTC Regulation 40.2(a) Notification Regarding the Initial Listing of the MLBOAK Contract | 10/27/2021 | $25,000 |
BBB | Will Build Back Better become law? | February 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
SFDINE | San Francisco Ban on Indoor Dining | 8/17/21 | $25,000 |
TRUMPADMINROLE | Will <person> be nominated or appointed by the Trump Presidential Administration to be <role> before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
XCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of X leave? | December 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
RPOLLING | "Will <candidate> poll <above/below> <count> by <date>?" | September 7, 2023 | $25,000 |
GLBTEMP | Will <year> be the hottest year on record? | February 15, 2022 | $25,000 |
ECONPATH | Will there be <high_u/low_u> unemployment and <high_i/low_i> inflation in <period>? | August 1, 2022 | $25,000 |
NOBEL | Will <candidate> win the Nobel Prize for <subject> for <year>? | August 9, 2023 | $25,000 |
STATEWINPOPVOTE | "Will the candidate that wins <state> <win/lose> the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?" | October 31, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
DCEIL | Will Congress raise or suspend the debt ceiling? | November 9, 2021 | $25,000 |
HURCHARL | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Charleston? | August 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
LIFEEXP | Will U.S. life expectancy be <above/below/between> <count> in <year>? | July 31, 2023 | $25,000 |
DRAKE | Drake's Certified Lover Boy | 8/19/2021 | $25,000 |
NFPDELAY | Will the non-farm payroll release for <month> be released by <date>? | September 25, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
ARCTICICE | What will the extent of Arctic sea ice be in <period>? | November 18, 2022 | $25,000 |
SUPERCON | Will room-temperature superconductivity be replicated by <date>? | August 2, 2023 | $25,000 |
GERMANYSEATS | Will <party> win <above/below/between/exactly> <count> seats in the Bundestag in the <year> German federal election? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
TORNADO | Will there be <above/below/between> <count> tornadoes in <month>? | June 23, 2023 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYCOL | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Columbus? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
CORPTAX | Will the top federal corporate tax rate be <increased/decreased> <above/below/between> <percent> before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
WRECSS | Will <country> have a recession before <date>? | April 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
BRADY | Will Tom Brady play in the NFL again before <date>? | May 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
GRAMMY | Who will win at the Grammys? | March 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
STATEGROUP | "Will <states> vote together in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?" | October 29, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
OMAROVA | OMAROVA Contract | October 21, 2021 | $25,000 |
DEBATEHAPPEN | Will <debate> occur on its scheduled date? | June 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
AUSPM | "Will a member of <political party> be the first Australian Prime Minister for the <number> Parliament of Australia?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
JPMCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of JPMorgan Chase leave by <date>? | January 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
MEASLES | Will there be more than <count> measles cases in <year>? | July 21, 2023 | $25,000 |
AUSHIGH | Will the high temperature in Austin be <greater than/less than/between> <degrees>? | May 8, 2023 | $25,000 |
WHEAT | Will the price of wheat be <above/below/between> <price>? | March 30, 2022 | $25,000 |
TECHLAYOFF | Will tech layoffs be <above/below/between> <rate> in <month>? | August 25, 2023 | $25,000 |
SPACEXCOUNT | Will SpaceX have <above/below/between> <count> launches in <period>? | March 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
PREK | Universal Pre-Kindergarten | 9/14/2021 | $25,000 |
SAG | Will the SAG strike end by <date>? | July 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
UAWLENGTH | Will the UAW strike end by <date>? | September 19, 2023 | $25,000 |
RTCOMPARISONSET | "Will <movie> in <set> have the highest Rotten Tomatoes score in <period>?" | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
FEDCONF | Will Jerome Powell be confirmed Chair of the Fed? | November 22, 2021 | $25,000 |
CARVMAK | Will the Supreme Court side with the plaintiffs in Carson v. Makin on constitutional grounds? | December 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
NYTOAISETTLE | Will The New York Times settle its copyright infringement claims against OpenAI? | January 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
JREPODCAST | Will the Joe Rogan Experience ever not be the top-ranked podcast on Spotify before <date>? | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
PLANET | PLANET Contract | 10/17/21 | $25,000 |
MICH | Will Michigan football's next coach be <coach>? | January 16, 2024 | $25,000 |
SPACEXORBIT | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit before <date>? | March 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
NYCDEBITS | Will NYC expand the debit card program for migrants? | February 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
BEYONCEGENRE | Will Beyonce's next album appear on the Billboard <chart>? | May 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
EVICT | EVICT Contract | 9/12/2021 | $25,000 |
VAXX | "Will over <number> of Americans be vaccinated for COVID-19?" | July 15, 2021 | $25,000 |
BELICHICK | Will Bill Belichick be coach of <team> before <date>? | April 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
NYCDN | Will indoor dining be closed in NYC? | December 21, 2021 | $25,000 |
BRAINARD | Will Lael Brainard be confirmed to be the Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve? | April 11, 2022 | $25,000 |
BALANCESHEET | "Will the Federal Reserve's balance sheet be <above/below/between> <count> <before/on> <date>?" | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
APPLEUS | Will the DOJ win their anti-trust suit against Apple? | March 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
TECHREG | Will the American Choice and Innovation Online Act become law? | March 13, 2022 | $25,000 |
NONCOMPETEBAN | Will the FTC's prohibition against non-competes be overturned? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
GPT5 | Will GPT-5 be released by <date>? | April 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
SLOAN | Will federal student loan forbearance be extended? | July 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
CO2 | What will the CO2 emissions for <month> be? | November 9, 2021 | $25,000 |
MASK-001 | CFTC Regulation 40.2(a) Notification Regarding the Initial Listing of the MASK-001 Contract, relating to whether New York City will reinstate a mask mandate | July 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
MORTGAGEDEF | Will mortgage defaults be <above/below/between> <percent> in <quarter>? | August 15, 2023 | $25,000 |
GOOGLEBREAKUP | Will a court order a break-up or divestiture of Alphabet in United States v. Google LLC (2020) before <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
CREDEF | Will commercial real estate defaults be <above/below/between> <percent> in <quarter>? | August 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
COVID-19_new_cases | Will there be more than <count> new COVID-19 cases on <date>? | July 21, 2021 | $25,000 |
EARTHQUAKE | Will a <count> or higher earthquake happen before <date>? | April 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
HOUHIGH | "Will the high temperature in Houston be <greater than/less than/between> <degrees> on <date>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
FLIGHTORD | Will <greater than/less than/between> <count> flights be delayed or canceled at Chicago O'Hare on <date>? | 7/11/2022 | $25,000 |
ARTISTPEAK | "Will a <song/album> by <artist> reach a peak <above/below/between/equal to> <count> on the Billboard <chart>?" | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
DEFAULT | Will the US default on its debt? | January 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
DEBUTRANK | Will <album> have a debut ranking of <rank> on the Billboard 200? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
APPLEAI | Will Apple announce an AI partnership with <company>? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
CMEATBANTIME | Will any state ban cultivated meat before <date>? | June 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
SORA | Will OpenAI's Sora be released to the public before <date>? | February 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
SFRENT | Will rent growth in San Francisco be <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | April 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
MEASLES | Will there be more than <count> measles cases in <year>? | July 21, 2023 | $25,000 |
TOPALBUMRECORD | Will <album> be on top of the Billboard 200 for <above/below/between> <weeks>? | February 15, 2024 | $25,000 |
YOYCPI | Will year-over-year inflation for the year ending <month> be <above/below/between> <percent>? | December 5, 2022 | $25,000 |
CRYPTOREG | "Will a bill become law granting authority to a federal agency to regulate digital asset spot markets before <date>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
MONTERO | MONTERO Contract (a contract relating to whether Lil Nas X's upcoming new album Montero will have strictly more than <value> consumption and be released prior to a given date) | 9/15/2021 | $25,000 |
DRIVERS | Whether Olivia Rodrigo's "Driver's License" will be the most streamed song in 2021 | October 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
DOSE4 | Will the CDC recommend a second booster? | 3/28/2022 | $25,000 |
ALBM | Billie Eilish's "Happier Than Ever" album consumption Contract | July 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
BANKRUPTS | Will the aggregate number of corporate bankruptcies in <period> be <above/below> <count>? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
CLDPLAY | CLDPLAY Contract | October 13, 2021 | $25,000 |
DENHIGH | "Will the high temperature in Denver be <greater than/less than/between> <degrees>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
HOUSEPARTY | Will <political party> control <House seat> for the term starting <year>? | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
JOBS | Will initial jobless claims be <higher, lower> than <count>? | July 13, 2021 | $25,000 |
TESLAOPTIMUS | Will a Tesla Optimus robot be available for sale to the general public before <date>? | February 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
ECADVANTAGE | "Will the margin between the national popular vote and the tipping point state of the electoral college winner be <above/below/between> <percent>?" | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
WEWORKCEO | Will the CEO of WeWork be <person>? | February 15, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYSTL | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect St. Louis? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
MICHTEMP | Will Lake Michigan water temperature be <above/below/between> <degrees> on <date>? | 08/16/2022 | $25,000 |
MEISSNER | Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature? | January 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
10Y3M | Will the 10-year/3-month yield curve be <above/below/between> <percent> by <date>? | March 2, 2023 | $25,000 |
GOOGLECEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Google leave by <date>? | January 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
USDTWDMINMAX | Will USD/TWD be <above/below> <count> by <date>? | July 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
LOWESTRATE | What will the lowest federal funds rate set by the Federal Reserve be by <date>? | December 14, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
SHUTDOWN | SHUTDOWN Contract | 9/26/2021 | $25,000 |
RT | Will <movie> have a Rotten Tomatoes score of <above/below/between> <count> on <date>? | February 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
COYOTEACME | Will a release of Coyote vs. Acme be announced before <date>? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
HIGHMOV | "Which <state> will <political party> win by the highest margin of victory in <election year>?" | October 18, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
USTESTS | Will US test scores in <subject> experience <change> in <year>? | May 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
SFSCHL | San Francisco Public School Reopenings | 8/29/2021 | $25,000 |
GPT45 | Will GPT-4.5 be released by <date>? | January 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
TESLAM2 | Will Tesla announce a low-cost electric vehicle before <date>? | April 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMMYS | Will <nominee> win <award> at the Emmys? | August 29, 2022 | $25,000 |
ETH | Will the spot price of Ether be <above/below/between> <price> on <date> at <time>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOKMED | TOKMED Contract, relating to the number of medals awarded at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics | August 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
PREK | TERMS OF CONTRACTS TRADED ON KALSHI Contract: PREK | 9/15/2021 | $25,000 |
ECMOV | "Will the American presidential election electoral college be in favor of <political party> in <election year> by <above/below/between/at least> <votes>?" | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
LASTSTATECALL | Will <state> be the last state called by the AP in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | October 31, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
GLACIER | Will the Supreme Court rule that the National Labor Relations Act does not preempt a state tort claim against the International Brotherhood of Teamsters in Glacier Northwest Inc. v. International Brotherhood of Teamsters? | December 8, 2022 | $25,000 |
HURCOASTTEX | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit coastal Texas? | August 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
SOHN | Will Gigi Sohn be confirmed to be a Member of the Federal Communications Commission | April 18, 2022 | $25,000 |
538APPROVEMINMAX | Will the President's approval rating be <above/below> <percentage points> by <date> according to FiveThirtyEight? | February 28, 2023 | $25,000 |
SPOTIFYRANK | Will <artist> be <above/below/between> <rank> before <date>? | April 12, 2024 | $25,000 |
AUSTRALIAPARTY | "Will <party> win the most seats in the 2025 Australian federal election?" | October 21, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
TRDBAN | Will stock trading by members of Congress be banned? | March 10, 2022 | $25,000 |
CANADAPM | "Will a member of <party> be the first Canadian Prime Minister for the <number> Parliament of Canada?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
CANADASEATS | Will <party> win <above/below/between/exactly> <count> seats in the House of Commons for the <number> Parliament of Canada? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
USEDCAR | Will the price of used cars and trucks change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | August 1, 2023 | $25,000 |
ETHETF | Will an ETH ETF be listed by <date>? | January 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
SUBWAY | Will average New York City subway ridership in a given week be <above/below/between> <count> before <date>? | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
WEIGHTDRUGSQ | Will weight loss drug prescriptions grow by more than <percent> in <quarter>? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
EXITPOLL | Will <political party> win <constituency> in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
LU3 | Will any monthly U.S. unemployment rate be <above/below> <percent> this year? | February 8, 2022 | $25,000 |
PRESPARTYFULL | Will <political party> <win/lose> the electoral college and <win/lose> the popular vote in <election year>? | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
ELECTION24RCP | Will the RealClearPolitics polling average be <above/below/between> <percent> in favor of <political party> in the U.S presidential election on election day? | November 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
METACRITICALBUM | Will <album> have a Metacritic score of <above/below/between> <count>? | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
HOUSELENGTH | Will the median number of days housing inventory is on market <above/below/between> <count>? | August 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
APPLEPORT | Will Apple announce the development of a portless phone by <date>? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
TSA | Will TSA airport screenings be above <count> on <date>? | July 18, 2021 | $25,000 |
BEDOYA | Will Alvaro Bedoya be confirmed as Commissioner of the Federal Trade Commission? | April 14, 2022 | $25,000 |
RATECUTS | "Will the number of rate cuts be <count>?" | December 14, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
NGDP | How much will NGDP change? | January 26, 2022 | $25,000 |
AISPIKE | "Will <model> have an ELO score of at least <count> before <date>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
HPI | How much will the Housing Price Index change? | November 29, 2021 | $25,000 |
MITACKMAN | Will more than <count> MIT faculty be accused of plagiarism? | January 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
CPTPP | CPTPP Contract | 10/13/2021 | $25,000 |
TOPSONG | Will <song> be the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of <date>? | May 30, 2023 | $25,000 |
HOT100 | Will last week's top song still top the Billboard Hot 100? | February 2, 2022 | $25,000 |
$INX | Will $INX close <above/below/between> <value> on <date>? | April 26, 2022 | $25,000 |
FLIGHTJFK | Will <greater than/less than/between> <count> flights be delayed or canceled at JFK Airport on <date>? | 07/11/2022 | $25,000 |
HOUSESTART | Will housing starts be <above/below/between> <count> in <month>? | September 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
BTCETHRETURN | Will <cryptocurrency_1> return more than <cryptocurrency_2> in <period>? | May 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
TSUNAMI | Will a tsunami of at least <count> maximum meters tall happen before <date>? | April 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
CBVOLUME | Will Coinbase have <above/below/between> <count> <party> transaction volume in <quarter>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
CREDITRATING | Will the credit rating of the United States fall by <date>? | April 10, 2023 | $25,000 |
AUDUSD | Will AUD/USD be <above/below/between> <count>? | March 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
COIN | Will the United States mint the platinum coin? | January 27, 2023 | $25,000 |
SPOTIFYCHART | "Will <song/artist> be the top of the Spotify <chart> on <date>?" | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
KANYE | "Will consumption of Kanye West's Donda album be above <count> Album Units?" | July 21, 2021 | $25,000 |
SALTX | State and Local Tax Deduction | 9/10/2021 | $25,000 |
GOLD | Will the price of gold be <above/below/between> <count> at <time> on <date>? | September 7, 2022 | $25,000 |
LSNOWNY | Total Snowfall in NYC | 11/4/21 | $25,000 |
TOPALBUMBY | Will <artist> have a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by <date>? | February 29, 2024 | $25,000 |
FEDNOM | FEDNOM Contract (Federal Reserve Chairman Nomination) | 9/22/2021 | $25,000 |
CHINAUSGDP | Will China GDP exceed US GDP by <date>? | April 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
HOMEUS | Will the average home price in the US be <above/below/between> <percent>? | July 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
GAMEAWARDS | Will <nominee> win <award> at the <year> Game Awards? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYNOLA | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect New Orleans? | August 31, 2023 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYMIA | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Miami? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
IVYFUNDING | Will Congress remove funding for Ivy League schools before <date>? | May 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
PMLA | PMLA Contract (relating to the highest level of PM 2.5 pollution in Los Angeles) | 8/29/2021 | $25,000 |
SKRMETTI | Will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee Bill 1 violates the 14th Amendment's Equal Protection Clause? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
CAPGAIN | CAPGAIN contract (A contract relating to whether or not the tax on long-term capital gains will be increased) | September 2, 2021 | $25,000 |
DEBUTSONGRANK | "Will <song> have a debut ranking of <rank> on the Billboard Hot 100?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
RAINNYC | New York City Precipitation | September 2, 2021 | $25,000 |
RAINSEA | The RAINSEA contract is a contract relating to the amount of precipitation in Seattle | August 16, 2021 | $25,000 |
LLM1 | Will <organization> have the top ranked LLM on <date>? | March 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
SUEZ | Will the Suez Canal close? | December 22, 2023 | $25,000 |
TRANSSPORTS | Will the Trump Administration take executive action regarding transgender athletes <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
TEU | Will Turkey join the European Union? | July 6, 2021 | $25,000 |
TOPPOP | Will <artist> be named as #<rank> pop artist of the 21st century by Billboard? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
RAINHOU | Houston Precipitation | 08/26/2021 | $25,000 |
USHIGH | Will the highest temperature in the United States be <above/below/between> <count>? | September 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
NPRDEFUND | Will Congress defund NPR before <date>? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
EUROIMF | Will the IMF's reporting of the EUR/USD exchange rate be <above/below/between> <count>? | June 30, 2022 | $25,000 |
USDRUBMINMAX | Will USD/RUB be <above/below> <count> by <date>? | July 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
AITURING | Will Ray Kurzweil win his prediction that an AI will pass the Turing Test by 2029? | March 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
GOVBALL | GOVBALL Contract | 9/9/2021 | $25,000 |
RUBLE | Will the USD/Ruble exchange rate be <above/below> <count>? | February 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
STATEWIN | "Will <party> win the 2024 U.S. Presidential election and win <state>?" | October 31, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
OPENAICEOCHANGE | Will OpenAI change its CEO by <date>? | November 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
GNSOUR | Grammy Album of the Year nomination contract for Olivia Rodrigo's Sour | November 3, 2021 | $25,000 |
STARSHIPMARS | Will Starship launch a manned mission to Mars by <date>? | March 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
HFHOUSING | Will a bill taxing or banning hedge funds from owning single-family homes become law before <date>? | May 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
JEFFERSON | Will Philip Jefferson be confirmed to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board? | April 11, 2022 | $25,000 |
ANCHOR | The ANCHOR Contract (relating to the weekly average number of container vessels anchored at the Port of Los Angeles) | October 5, 2021 | $25,000 |
NEWMODEL | "Will <organization> release a new LLM model before <date>?" | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
CMEATBANUSA | Will the Trump Administration ban the sale of cultivated meat before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
MPOXCASES | "Will there be a seven-day average of Mpox cases of at least <count> before <date>?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
RTTV | Will <show> have a Rotten Tomatoes score of <above/below/between> <count> on <date>? | March 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
GOVPARTY | "Will <political party> control the governorship of state after the election of <election year>?" | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
NWEST | Will North West release a new album on Spotify before <date>? | March 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
YINVERT | Will the yield curve invert? | 3/6/2022 | $25,000 |
SPACEXLAND | Will SpaceX's Starship launch and land successfully before <date>? | April 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
TIPPINGPOINT | "What will be the tipping point jurisdiction in the American presidential election in <election year>?" | October 4, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
WEALTH | Will <person> be the wealthiest person in the world before <date>? | February 2, 2024 | $25,000 |
LSNOWCHI | Will it snow <above/below/between> <inches> in <month> in Chicago? | January 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
SDEBT | Will student loan debt be forgiven? | February 23, 2022 | $25,000 |
NPRCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of NPR leave before <date>? | April 23, 2024 | $25,000 |
INSULINCAP | Will a bill become law ending or raising the cap on insulin prices? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
DEBTSIZE | Will the national debt become <above/below/between/at least> <count> in <period>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
IRONMAN | Will Robert Downey Jr. return to the MCU as Iron Man by <date>? | May 20, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYDES | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Des Moines? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
RTNGS | RTNGS contract (NFL Viewership) | 9/27/2021 | $25,000 |
AAAGASMINMAX | Will the average price of gas in <area> be <above/below> <price> by <date>? | September 13, 2023 | $25,000 |
CPIGAS | Will the gas component of the consumer price index change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | December 15, 2023 | $25,000 |
WTAX | WTAX Contract (a contract relating to whether the United States will impose a new tax on wealth or unrealized capital gains) | 10/25/2021 | $25,000 |
GAMERANK | Will <game> be <above/below/between/equal to> <count> on the Steam <chart> on <date>? | May 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
OSCARNOMS | Will <nominee> be nominated for <award> at the Oscars? | March 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
HRECNC | House Budget Reconciliation Bill | 8/23/2021 | $25,000 |
FBUSTER | Will the filibuster cloture vote requirement be lowered? | November 10, 2021 | $25,000 |
BTC | Will the spot price of Bitcoin be <above/below/between> <price> on <date> at <time>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
RATEHIKE | "Will the number of rate hikes be <count>?" | March 28, 2022 | $25,000 |
FEDDECISION | Will the Federal Reserve do <action> at <meeting>? | April 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
TTFMINMAX | Will the front-month Dutch TTF natural gas future be <above/below> <price> by <date>? | April 10, 2023 | $25,000 |
FIRERANK | Will <school> be ranked <above/at/below> <rank> in <year> on the FIRE free speech rankings? | February 29, 2024 | $25,000 |
NEWSONG | Will <artist> release a new song by <date>? | June 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
HMONTH | Will <month> <year> be the hottest <month> on record? | January 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURORL | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Orlando? | August 9, 2022 | $25,000 |
USDJPYMINMAX | Will USD/JPY be <above/below> <count> by <date>? | January 12, 2023 | $25,000 |
CTC | Will the Child Tax Credit be expanded by <date>? | January 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
MEAD | Lake Mead Water Levels at Hoover Dam | 10/5/2021 | $25,000 |
AAPLCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Apple leave by <date>? | January 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
EUEXPANSION | Will <country> join the EU by <date>? | May 17, 2024 | $25,000 |
COSTCO | Will Costco announce a price increase of <product> before <date>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
LOPER | Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of the petitioners in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo? | August 15, 2023 | $25,000 |
SPOTIFYALBUM | Will <album> have <above/below/between> <count> streams on Spotify on <date>? | April 12, 2024 | $25,000 |
ANIME | Will <nominee> win <award> at the 8th Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | February 15, 2024 | $25,000 |
GERMANYSEATS | "Will <party> win <above/below/between/exactly> <count> seats in the Bundestag in the <year> German federal election?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
DISNEYBOARD | Will <person> <join/leave> the board of Disney? | February 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
MUSKSEARCH | Will searches for Elon Musk be <above/below/between> <count> <by/on> <date>? | April 17, 2024 | $25,000 |
MSFTCEO | Will <person> be the next CEO of Microsoft? | November 22, 2023 | $25,000 |
MANHEIM | Will used car prices change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period> according to Manheim? | January 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
FEDMEET | Will the Federal Reserve host an emergency meeting before <date>? | August 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
USDJPY | Will USD/JPY be <above/below/between> <count>? | August 9, 2022 | $25,000 |
LIZARRAGA | Will Jaime Lizárraga be confirmed to be a Member of the Securities and Exchange Commission? | May 2, 2022 | $25,000 |
GOODS | "Will the price of <good> be <above/below/between> <count> <before/in> <month>?" | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOP20 | Will <artist> have a top 20 single by <date>? | April 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
OMIVAX | Will an Omicron vaccine be authorized? | December 9, 2021 | $25,000 |
CANADACONFIDENCE | Will there be a successful motion of no confidence in the Canadian House of Commons before <date>? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURMYR | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Myrtle Beach? | August 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYSF | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect San Francisco? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
ECLIPSECOVER | Will <city> have cloud coverage of <above/below/between> <percent> during the Solar Eclipse? | March 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
CORP | Will a bill raising the corporate income tax above <percent> become law? | July 22, 2021 | $25,000 |
TNOTE | What will the yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury note be? | January 24, 2021 | $25,000 |
ELECTIONSTATECALL | Will <state> be called by the AP in the 2024 U.S. presidential election before <date> at <time>? | October 31, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
INCOMETAX | "Will the top federal income tax rate be <increased/decreased> <above/below/between> <percent> before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
WEBB | James Webb telescope launch | 10/14/2021 | $25,000 |
538APPROVE | Will the President's approval rating be <above/below/between> <percentage points> on <date> according to FiveThirtyEight? | April 25, 2022 | $25,000 |
AIDEBATES | Will AI be a major topic at the 2024 U.S. presidential debates? | March 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
CMEATBAN | Will <state> ban cultivated meat? | March 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
LBJR | Will LeBron James Jr. be drafted to <team>? | May 2, 2024 | $25,000 |
GOOGLEUS | Will Google be found to abuse monopoly power? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
RTCOMPARISON | Will <movie> have the highest Rotten Tomatoes score in <period>? | May 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
EASTCOASTPORTSTRIKE | Will the International Longshoremen's Association go on strike before <date>? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
WINSTATELOSE | Will <political party> win the 2024 U.S. presidential election but lose <states>? | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
Vaccinate Rate Contract | Will over <number> of Americans be vaccinated for COVID-19? | July 6, 2021 | $25,000 |
ECTIE | Will there be a 269-269 tie in the electoral college in <election year>? | October 24, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
AVGTEMP | What will the average temperature in the contiguous United States be in <month>? | November 18, 2022 | $25,000 |
LCASE | The LCASE Contract is a contract relating to the number of new COVID-19 cases reported for a given day over certain period of time in the United States | August 16, 2021 | $25,000 |
SPR | Will the strategic petroleum reserve hold <above/below/between> <count> barrels before <date>? | April 12, 2024 | $25,000 |
AILEGISLATION | Will Congress pass legislation limiting large language models by <date>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
ACMA | Will <nominee> win <award> at the Academy of Country Music Awards? | March 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOPSONGS | "Will there be <above/below/between> <count> number one songs in <year>?" | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
RHGOLD | Will Robinhood have <above/below/between> <count> Gold subscribers in <quarter>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
LTHUR | Long-term Hurricane | 8/31/21 | $25,000 |
TEMP | Will 2021 have a global average temperature >2.124℉ higher than the 1880 global average temperature? | July 1, 2021 | $25,000 |
SWITCH2 | Will Nintendo announce a new gaming console by <date>? | January 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
ARSTRIKE | Will a general strike occur in Argentina by <date>? | January 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
CPIDELAY | Will the consumer price index release for <month> be released by <date>? | September 22, 2023 | $7,000,000 |
PARDON | Will <person> be pardoned during <Presidential term>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYWIL | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Wilmington? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
HURCAL | Will a <speed> hurricane hit California? | August 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
WEEKND | WEEKND Contract | October 31, 2021 | $25,000 |
DEMOCRACY | Will <country> be <above/below/between> <count> on the The Economist Democracy Index? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
OPENAISUIT | Will Elon Musk win his lawsuit against OpenAI? | March 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
LAHIGH | Will the high temperature in Los Angeles be <greater than/less than/between> <degrees>? | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
EUEXIT | "Will any country leave the European Union by <date>?" | May 17, 2024 | $25,000 |
HIGH | Will the high in New York City be over <degrees>? | July 14, 2021 | $25,000 |
TESLACEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Tesla leave by <date>? | February 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
ELECTIONCALL | "Will the 2024 presidential election be called before <date> at <time>?" | October 18, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
AVENGERS | Will the next Avengers movie be delayed? | February 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
AGENCYCONF | Will <nominee> be confirmed to be <agency> by <date>? | May 30, 2023 | $25,000 |
PAYROLLS | Will nonfarm payroll change be <above/below/between> <count>? | March 8, 2022 | $25,000 |
TEMP_old | Global High Temperature Contract | June 30, 2021 | $25,000 |
SOFR | SOFR contract (Contract relating to whether the daily Secured Overnight Financing Rate will be above value) | 8/25/2021 | $25,000 |
FORB | Will federal student loan forbearance be extended? | February 23, 2022 | $25,000 |
HURFL | HURFL - Will a Tropical Storm/Hurricane Warning be issued for Miami-Dade County? | August 10, 2021 | $25,000 |
TOPSONGRECORD | Will <song> be on top of the Billboard Hot 100 for <above/below/between> <weeks>? | May 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
GASTAX | Will there be a federal gas tax holiday? | March 23, 2022 | $25,000 |
BRAZILX | Will Brazil <ban/unban> X? | April 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
PRESPERSON | Will <pres candidate> win the Presidency by being the first inaugurated as President for the <year> Term of Office? | November 1, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
LBJRDRAFT | Will LeBron James Jr. be drafted? | May 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
AAPLWATCH | Will Apple be banned from selling and importing the Apple Watch Series 9 and Ultra 2 on <date>? | January 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
LEAVEPOWELL | Will Chairman Powell leave his position by <date>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
BETTERSTATE | Will the American presidential election popular vote be in favor of <political party> more <state_1> than <state_2> in <election year>? | October 31, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
1DREUNION | Will One Direction have a reunion before <date>? | October 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
PLEAVE | Will a paid parental leave bill become law? | December 16, 2021 | $25,000 |
ROGANFIRST | Will an episode of the Joe Rogan Experience interviewing Donald Trump be released before an episode with Kamala Harris? | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
AMAZONFTC | Will Amazon be found to abuse monopoly power? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
FBDAU | Will Facebook daily active users be <above/below/between> <count> at the end of <quarter>? | March 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
GRAMMYCOUNT | Will <artist> win <above/below/between> <count> awards at the Grammys? | January 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYJAC | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Jackson? | September 5, 2023 | $25,000 |
H5N1CASES | Will there be more than <count> H5N1 cases in <year>? | June 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
NFLXSUBS | Will Netflix subscribers change by <above/below/between> <count> subscribers in <quarter>? | January 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
WTIMINMAX | Will the front-month oil future be <above/below> <price> by <date>? | January 17, 2023 | $25,000 |
MAYORNYCNOM | Will <candidate> win the nomination of <political party> in the New York City election of <election year>? | November 7, 2024 | $1,000,000 |
STATEWIN | "Will the candidate that wins <state> win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?" | October 29, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
SPIDERVERSE | Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released before <date>? | March 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
ALTMAN | Will Sam Altman start a new AI organization by <date>? | November 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
DISCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Disney leave by <date>? | December 22, 2023 | $25,000 |
FEDEMPLOYEES | "Will the number of federal government employees be <above/below/between> <count> before <month>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
LIVENATIONUS | "Will the DOJ win their antitrust lawsuit against Live Nation?" | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
NBERRECSS | Will there be an official recession in <period>? | 06/29/2022 | $25,000 |
MORAESLEAVE | Will Alexandre de Moraes leave the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before <date>? | April 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
VOTESHARE | "Will <candidate> receive <above/below/between> <percent> of the vote share in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?" | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
JPY | Will the USD/JPY exchange rate be <above/below/between> <count>? | April 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
NASDAQ100 | Will the Nasdaq-100 close <date> <above/below/between> <value>? | April 21, 2022 | $25,000 |
RULES | Will <rule> be finalized before <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
COMMENCEMENT | Will commencement at <university> be canceled? | May 2, 2024 | $25,000 |
NGAS | Will the price of natural gas be <above/below> <price>? | 3/1/2022 | $25,000 |
EARTHQUAKE | Will a <count> or higher earthquake happen before <date>? | April 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
WEIGHTDRUGS | Will <above> <count> weight loss drugs be prescribed by <date>? | August 31, 2023 | $25,000 |
EVMKT | What will the electric vehicle market share be in the US? | November 9, 2021 | $25,000 |
SPOTIFYSUBS | Will Spotify subscribers be <above/below/between> <count> subscribers in <quarter>? | March 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
MLBCBA | MLB Collective Bargaining Agreement | 10/26/2021 | $25,000 |
PESO | Will the USD/Mexican peso exchange rate be <above/below/between> <count>? | March 16, 2022 | $25,000 |
RESIGN | Will the President of the United States resign during <Presidential term>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
INFRALW | INFRALW contract relating to when the bipartisan infrastructure bill will become law | 8/23/2021 | $25,000 |
PRESPARTYDISTRICT | Will <political party> win the American presidential election in <district> in <election year>? | October 14, 2024 | $1,000,000 |
SOTW | Song of the Week Contract | October 8, 2021 | $25,000 |
HURHAT | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Hatteras Island? | August 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
COREPCE | Will core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index inflation be <above/below/between> <percent> in <month>? | December 6, 2022 | $25,000 |
METADAP | Will Meta family daily active people average <above/below/between> <count> at the end of <quarter>? | March 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
SEMIPROD | Will semiconductor production change by <above/below/between> <percent> in <period>? | June 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
MONKEYPOX | Will monkeypox be named a pandemic by the WHO? | August 4, 2022 | $25,000 |
MAERSK | Will Maersk resume shipping in the Red Sea by <date>? | December 22, 2023 | $25,000 |
PRES | "Will <pres candidate> or another <party> Representative win the Presidency by being the first inaugurated as President for the <year> Term of Office?" | October 2, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
REALWAGES | Will real wages grow in <period>? | June 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
BTCRESERVE | "Will the Trump Administration take executive action creating a National Bitcoin Reserve before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
CNGDP | China GDP | 9/26/2021 | $25,000 |
POPVOTESTATESHIFT | "Will <state> shift <to/from> <political party> by <above/below/between> <percent> in the 2024 U.S. presidential election compared to 2020?" | October 18, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
IRISHPM | "Will a member of <political party> be the first Irish Taoiseach for the <number> government of Ireland?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
LGDP | Will any quarterly U.S. GDP growth be <above/below> <percent> this year? | February 2, 2022 | $25,000 |
VOC | Will the CDC identify a variant of concern? | February 13, 2022 | $25,000 |
GASMINMAX | "Will the price of gas be <above/below> <price> by <date>?" | January 19, 2023 | $25,000 |
STATEPRES | Will <political party> win any of <states> in the <election year> presidential election? | October 18, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
WGDP | Will GDP be <above/below> <count> in <area>? | March 3, 2022 | $25,000 |
VANRATE | Will the Truckstop.com dry van truck rate per mile be <above/below/between> <price> for <week>? | 10/18/2022 | $25,000 |
NYTSUBS | Will The New York Times add <above/below/between> <count> new subscribers in <quarter>? | May 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
SPIRITCEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Spirit leave by <date>? | January 24, 2024 | $25,000 |
BOE | Will the Bank of England set the bank rate <above/below/between> <percent> at <meeting>? | 12/20/2022 | $25,000 |
FTAPER | Federal Reserve Treasury and Mortgage-Backed Securities Purchases | 8/26/2021 | $25,000 |
NEWALBUM | Will <artist> release a new album by <date>? | May 16, 2024 | $25,000 |
ELECTIONDAYS | Will the 2024 presidential election be called by the AP on <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
CABSEC | Will <nominee> be confirmed to be <cabinet> by <date>? | March 1, 2023 | $25,000 |
GERMANYCONFIDENCE | Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in the German Bundestag before <date>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
OPENAIPROFIT | Will OpenAI announce an end to its for-profit division by <date>? | November 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
EMERGENCYLA | Will a tornado, earthquake, flood, or hurricane affect Los Angeles? | August 31, 2023 | $25,000 |
ORDDLY | Chicago O'Hare Delays | October 13, 2021 | $25,000 |
BILLBOARDPEAK | Will <song/album> reach a peak <above/below/between/equal to> <count> on the Billboard <chart>? | May 6, 2024 | $25,000 |
CONGRESSCHAIRS | Will <member> be the <Chair/Ranking Member> of <Committee>? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
CALIFF | Will Robert Califf be confirmed as FDA commissioner? | November 28, 2021 | $25,000 |
RECSZ | Size of Reconciliation Bill | 9/23/2021 | $25,000 |
SEATSCONGRESS | "Will <party> hold <above/below/between/exactly> <seats> <chamber of Congress> seats for <term>?" | October 14, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
CABCOUNT | "Will <above/below/between> <count> Cabinet members be confirmed before <date>?" | November 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
FEDCONFS | Will <nominee> be confirmed to be <Federal Reserve position>? | March 16, 2023 | $25,000 |
APPSTORE | Will the Open App Markets Act become law? | 3/14/2022 | $25,000 |
OHDISTRICTS | "Will Issue 1 pass in Ohio?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
TESLAPROD | Will Tesla production exceed <count> in <quarter>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
TOPALBUM | Will <album> be the #1 album on the Billboard 200 for the week of <date>? | August 2, 2023 | $25,000 |
OLYMP | Will the 2021 Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled? | July 6, 2021 | $25,000 |
OAIGOOGLE | Will the difference in capability between the best OpenAI and best Google large language models be <above/below/between> <count> elo points? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURSAV | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Savannah? | August 11, 2023 | $25,000 |
PS6 | Will Sony announce the PlayStation 6 by <date>? | February 27, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURNOR | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Norfolk? | September 13, 2023 | $25,000 |
CONGRESSMOV | Will <political party> control <chamber of Congress> by <above/below/between/at least> <seats> after <election year>? | October 4, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
DRUGNEG | "Will a bill become law ending the requirement for Medicare to negotiate drug prices?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
FLUV | FDA Emergency Authorization of Fluvoxamine | 9/8/2021 | $25,000 |
ROGAN | Will an episode of the Joe Rogan Experience interviewing <candidate> be released before <date>? | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
HMONTHRANGE | Will the average temperature anomaly in <month> be <above/below/between> <count> degrees? | May 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
TEXASDHS | Will <court> rule in favor of the federal government in Texas v. Department of Homeland Security? | January 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
SSTAX | "Will a bill become law excluding social security from gross income for tax purposes before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
NYCRENTS | Will rent in New York City be <above/below/between> <percent> according to StreetEasy? | August 1, 2023 | $25,000 |
IRELANDPARTY | "Will <party> win the most seats in the 2025 Irish general election?" | October 21, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
ELECTION24538 | Will the FiveThirtyEight polling average be <above/below/between> <percent> in favor of <political party> in the U.S. presidential election on election day? | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURNJ | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit New Jersey? | 06/28/2022 | $25,000 |
OSCARS | Will <nominee> win <award> at the Oscars? | March 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
ECB | Will the European Central Bank set the main refinancing operation rate <above/below/between> <percent> at <meeting>? | 12/21/2022 | $25,000 |
CHIHIGH | Chicago Temperature | August 16, 2021 | $25,000 |
Rule100.28 | "Will average gas prices be higher than <price>?" | July 28, 2021 | $25,000 |
TOPALBUMYEAR | "Will <album> be the number one album of <year>?" | February 15, 2024 | $25,000 |
APPRANK | Will <app> be <above/below/between/equal to> <count> on the Apple app store <chart> on <date>? | May 13, 2024 | $25,000 |
DOLLARFED | Will the Fed <decision> at <meeting> and the EUR/USD move by <percent>? | August 15, 2023 | $25,000 |
LCPI | Will any monthly U.S. inflation be <above/below> <percent> this year? | February 9, 2022 | $25,000 |
SHUTLENGTH | Will the Federal government shut down for <above> <days>? | January 19, 2023 | $25,000 |
HURJACKFL | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Jacksonville? | September 13, 2023 | $25,000 |
USDARSMINMAX | Will USD/ARS be <above/below> <count> by <date>? | August 30, 2023 | $25,000 |
RAINNO | New Orleans Precipitation contract | August 26, 2021 | $25,000 |
INDIACLIMATE | Will India meet climate <goal>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
ETHMINMAX | Will the spot price of Ether be <above/below> <price> by <date> at <time>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURTB | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit Tampa? | August 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
SCASE | "What will the average of new COVID cases in <area> be?" | December 21, 2021 | $25,000 |
SFFA | Will the Supreme Court's ruling in Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. President & Fellows of Harvard College be a victory for the petitioners? | March 29, 2022 | $25,000 |
HURSZ | Hurricane Size | August 19, 2021 | $25,000 |
WEALTHY | Will <person> be the wealthiest person in the world on <date>? | March 14, 2024 | $25,000 |
ECMAP | "Will the 2024 U.S. presidential electoral college map come out as <state_set_1> for Harris and <state_set_2> for Trump?" | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
ROBOTAXI | Will Tesla unveil the Robotaxi before <date>? | April 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
KILLSWITCH | Will California make law a bill that requires at least some AI models to have a kill switch before <date>? | October 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
BILLCOUNT | "How many <Senators/Representatives> will vote in favor of <bill> before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
TERMINALRATE | What will the highest federal funds rate set by the Federal Reserve be by <date>? | 12/22/2022 | $25,000 |
SILVERCALL | Will Silver Bulletin correctly call the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
SWINGSTATES24 | Will <party> win <count> swing states in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | October 18, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
BTCETHATH | Will <cryptocurrency_1> hit an all-time high before <cryptocurrency_2>? | May 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
CARBONX | CARBONX Contract | 10/5/2021 | $25,000 |
RENTNYC | Will rent in New York City be <above/below/between> <percent>? | July 27, 2022 | $25,000 |
SEMIPPI | Will the PPI value for semiconductors be <above/below> <value> in <month>? | March 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
VULTURES | Will Kanye West release a new album on Spotify by <date>? | December 18, 2023 | $25,000 |
RATECUT | Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by <date>? | August 29, 2022 | $25,000 |
CONGESTION | Will congestion pricing in New York City be implemented before <date>? | October 18, 2024 | $25,000 |
SILVERSTATES | Will Silver Bulletin correctly call <above/below/between/exactly> <count> states in the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | October 31, 2024 | $25,000 |
DOTPLOT | Will the median dot plot for <period> be <above/below/between> <count>? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
ARGDOLLAR | Will Argentina dollarize its economy? | November 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
APPLEFOLD | Will Apple announce the development of a foldable phone by <date>? | October 20, 2023 | $25,000 |
INFR | Will the Senate pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill before <date>? | 7/28/2021 | $25,000 |
PRESINDEX | "Will the Trump index outperform the Harris index by <above/below/between> <count> over <period>?" | October 14, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
100.23 | Will the 30-Yr FRM be above <interest rate>? | 07/20/2021 | $25,000 |
CLOSESTSTATE | Will <state> have the closest vote for the American presidency in <election year>? | October 4, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
UAW | Will United Auto Workers go on strike? | August 31, 2023 | $25,000 |
VACCINEW | Will any Covid-19 vaccine have its approval or authorization ended by <date>? | June 3, 2024 | $25,000 |
BIGTECHLAYOFF | Will <company> do a layoff by <date>? | January 26, 2024 | $25,000 |
ROCKET | How many commercial spacecraft will launch? | November 23, 2021 | $25,000 |
PRESPARTY | "Will a member of <political party> win the Presidency by being the first inaugurated as President for the <year> Term of Office?" | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |
WGA | Will the WGA strike end by <date>? | June 23, 2023 | $25,000 |
LCPIYOY | Will any monthly year-over-year U.S. inflation be <above/below> <percent> this year? | March 4, 2024 | $25,000 |
WCPI | Will inflation be <above/below> <percent> in <area>? | March 3, 2022 | $25,000 |
SOFIMEMBERS | Will SoFi add <above/below/between> <count> new members in <quarter>? | April 30, 2024 | $25,000 |
BOOSTER | BOOSTER Contract | 10/25/2021 | $25,000 |
TIKTOKSELL | Will the United States enact a TikTok divestiture law? | March 12, 2024 | $25,000 |
PCE | Will consumer spending be <above/below/between> <count> in <month>? | May 30, 2023 | $25,000 |
MURTHYMISSOURI | Will the Supreme Court rule that the government violated the First Amendment rights of social media companies? | November 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
COLDNYC | The COLDNYC Contract is a contract relating to the temperature in New York City | November 4, 2021 | $25,000 |
POWER | "Will <political party> <have/not have> control of the House, <have/not have> control of the Senate, and <have/not have> control of the Presidency after <election year>?" | October 4, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
TESLA | Will Tesla deliveries exceed <count> in <quarter>? | January 5, 2024 | $25,000 |
HURNO | Will a <hurricane_category> hurricane hit New Orleans? | 06/28/2022 | $25,000 |
TIPTAX | Will a bill become law establishing 'no tax on tips' before <date>? | October 28, 2024 | $25,000 |
SEAICE | SEAICE contract (relating to Arctic-wide changes in sea ice coverage) | 08/30/21 | $25,000 |
HARVARD | Will Harvard admissions be <above/below> <count> in <year>? | December 6, 2023 | $25,000 |
VANCE | Who will be appointed to replace J.D. Vance as US Senator from Ohio? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
APPROVE | The APPROVE Contract relating to the U.S. Presidential approval rating as measured by RealClearPolitics | 10/5/2021 | $25,000 |
ECUADORPRES | Will <candidate> be sworn in as President of Ecuador pursuant to the 2025 Presidential election? | October 21, 2024 | $7,000,000 |
SWINGFLIP | Will any of <states> flip who they voted for in the 2024 presidential election compared to the 2020 election? | October 21, 2024 | $3,000,000 |
HARVPRES | Will the new president of Harvard be <person>? | January 10, 2024 | $25,000 |
ARGBANK | Will Argentina end its central bank? | November 29, 2023 | $25,000 |
MIAHIGH | Will the high temperature in Miami be <greater than/less than/between> <degrees>? | May 8, 2023 | $25,000 |
GSTORM | GSTORM Contract (Geomagnetic Storms) | October 18, 2021 | $25,000 |
TCJAPERMANENT | Will the Trump tax cuts be extended? | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
NEWFLU | Will the new respiratory illness be declared a <epidemic_level>? | November 28, 2023 | $25,000 |
GMECEOCHANGE | Will the CEO of Gamestop leave by <date>? | January 22, 2024 | $25,000 |
CBRETAIL | "Will Coinbase volume be <above/below/between/at least> <percent> <retail/institutional> <before/in> <quarter>?" | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
TIKTOKUMG | Will a deal between UMG and TikTok be announced before <date>? | February 7, 2024 | $25,000 |
BIGBANKLAYOFF | Will <company> bank do a layoff by <date>? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
CONFCOUNT | "How many Senators will vote to confirm <nominee> as <position> before <date>?" | November 8, 2024 | $25,000 |
DAYLIGHT | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent? | March 22, 2022 | $25,000 |
TWOW | Will The Winds of Winter's release date be announced before <date>? | February 21, 2024 | $25,000 |
JBEARD | Will <nominee> win <award> at the James Beard Awards? | April 19, 2024 | $25,000 |
MOVIE | Will <movie> be announced before <date>? | October 25, 2024 | $25,000 |
MAYORNYCPARTY | Will a representative of <political party> control the Mayorship of New York City after the <election year> mayoral election? | November 8, 2024 | $1,000,000 |
PRESPARTYSTATE | "Will <political party> win the American presidential election in <state> in <election year>?" | October 4, 2024 | $50,000,000 |
FEDRATEMINMAX | Will the target federal funds rate range be <above/below/between> <percent>? | December 14, 2023 | $25,000 |
ALTMANEQUITY | Will it be reported that Sam Altman has received an equity stake in any part of OpenAI before <date>? | November 1, 2024 | $25,000 |